An old adage says that those who do not study history are doomed to repeat it. In the world of communications, I would posit a variation on that adage: Those who have lived through regulatory controversies are doomed to repeat them – forever. As one who has witnessed many regulatory controversies since 1978, I am one of the doomed.

The current controversy over network non-duplication and syndicated exclusivity provides a prime example. I first encountered this controversy in 1980, when, as a very young litigation attorney for the FCC, I was tapped to help write a brief defending the FCC’s repeal of the syndicated exclusivity rule. Cable operators – and the National Cable & Telecommunications Association (NCTA), which was led by Federal Communications Commission Chairman Tom Wheeler at the time – had contended that the rule was unnecessary and harmful to them, while broadcasters argued they had bargained for the right to attract viewers with popular programming so they could earn the revenues to serve their communities. The rules provided a practical enforcement tool to prevent cable operators from siphoning local stations’ audience share with duplicating programming. In a split vote, the FCC repealed the rule.

I remember that writing the brief wasn’t easy. I spent many long hours pouring over the record to find every nugget to support the decision. In the end, the Second Circuit deferred to the expert agency’s judgment because the FCC was able to point to two extensive staff reports, multiple studies and several years of investigation to justify the rule’s repeal.

That could have been the end of the matter, but it was not. Just eight years later, in light of actual competitive damage to broadcasters and real world experience, the FCC reversed course. It reinstated the syndicated exclusivity rule, finding that it served the public interest. This time the cable operators went to court.

I had less of a role in this second case, but when you read the decision, the agency’s line of defense clearly was very similar. The FCC pointed to new studies and an extensive record to support its new decision. Of course, it was harder, because the Commission was reversing itself – there is a much higher burden for the agency in those situations. But, they were able to meet that burden because they had substantial data to rely on.

This brings me to the current debate. To reverse itself again (not just on syndicated exclusivity, but now network non-duplication as well) the Commission will need to have a very strong record to show that the rules are unnecessary and/or harmful. I don’t see that here.

It is not enough to merely say that times have changed. While there may be more types of multichannel video providers today, that also means broadcasters face more competition for local audiences and more fragmentation of their advertising revenues. Nothing has undermined the Commission’s finding, when reinstating the syndex rule, that cable competes with free over-the-air television and has the incentive to erode the exclusivity a local station bargains for. The record shows that the incentive to undermine exclusivity is actually stronger today, because cable actively pursues and earns a greater share of local advertising dollars. And, why else would cable operators like Cablevision be asking not only to eliminate the current rules, but also to have the Commission prohibit broadcasters from even bargaining for local exclusivity? The Commission cannot conclude on this record that cable operators are unlikely to import duplicating distant signals harmful to local stations. That is going to be a problem for today’s FCC litigators if the Commission repeals these rules.

Others assert that there is no reason for the FCC to enforce exclusivity, as broadcasters can fight for exclusivity through contracts. But stations cannot simply use the courts to enforce contractual rights to exclusivity. Court dockets are already overcrowded, leading to delays in deciding civil cases. Beyond that, it is not clear just what type of private action a station could bring. The likely party importing a duplicating signal, the cable operator, has access to a compulsory license and is not a party to the network/syndicator/station contract. It seems that the only way to stop the duplication would be for the network or syndicator to stop delivering its programming to the duplicating distant station. How would that serve the public? Everybody loses in that scenario.

Even assuming a station could get into court, the cost of the litigation would be prohibitive. The median cost of civil litigation is around $91,000 and would likely be more here since stations would need lawyers with special expertise. That would drain most stations’ resources for hiring reporters or purchasing updated equipment (in addition to the investments the Commission either requires or urges stations to make to improve accessibility) and could break stations in small markets where revenue margins are very slim. If local service in those markets still matters, the exclusivity rules still matter. The FCC should retain these rules.

Jane Mago retired as NAB’s General Counsel and Executive Vice President of Legal Affairs last year. She joined NAB in 2004 after a 26-year career at the Federal Communications Commission, where she held many high-level positions including general counsel, chief of the Office of Strategic Planning and Policy Analysis, deputy chief of the Enforcement Bureau and legal advisor to three commissioners.